A Framework for Constructing Agent-based Models for Evaluating Emergency Evacuation Procedures; A Case Study Applied to Egaleo, Greece
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2025-01-07
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Planning and preparing for evacuations of populations during emergencies requires a multifaceted approach covering the essential concerns of understanding hazard risk, preparing critical infrastructure for egress and shelter, determining the makeup of the population at risk, understanding how that population will respond in the event of an emergency, and developing robust evacuation procedures and policies. While tools and methods often exist for understanding these concerns separately, these do not allow decision-makers to systematically understand their inter-connections and the implication of change in one dimension on the other. To address this challenge, we introduce a comprehensive framework tailored to support emergency management decision makers in the evaluation of community evacuation plans and procedures. Central to our approach is the use of micro-simulations that model known human behaviours in emergencies for evacuating populations. Our framework encompasses the five dimensions of Infrastructure, Population Demographics, Evacuation Policy, Hazard Model, and Human Behavior Model, and allow users to systematically build "what-if" scenarios that introduce changes in different dimensions to test the robustness of evacuation policies. We present a case study of employing this framework in Egaleo, Greece, a seismic-prone region, as part of the European HORIZON project C2IMPRESS, in collaboration with local government. We showcase the effectiveness and relevance of our approach in enhancing emergency response strategies within dynamic and high-stakes environments.
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Disaster Information, Resilience, for Emergency and Crisis Technologies, agent-based modeling, emergency planning, human behaviour modeling, simulation
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10
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Proceedings of the 58th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences
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Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
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