Predicting the Outcome of a Football Game: A Comparative Analysis of Single and Ensemble Analytics Methods

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2019-01-08

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As analytical tools and techniques advance, increasingly large numbers of researchers apply these techniques on a variety of different sports. With nearly 4 billion followers, it is estimated that association football, or soccer, is the most popular sports for fans across the world by a large margin. The objective of this study is to develop a model to predict the outcomes of soccer (or association football) games (win-loss-draw), and determine factors that influence game outcomes. We used 10 years of comprehensive game-level data spanning the years 2007-2017 in the Turkish Super League, and tested a variety of classifiers to identify the most promising methods for outcome predictions.

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Data, Text, and Web Mining for Business Analytics, Decision Analytics, Mobile Services, and Service Science, Association Football, analytics, predictive modeling, soccer

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9 pages

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Proceedings of the 52nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences

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Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International

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