Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10125/6137

The (Non) impact of UN sanctions on North Korea

File Size Format  
econwp098 1.pdf 333.53 kB Adobe PDF View/Open

Item Summary

Title:The (Non) impact of UN sanctions on North Korea
Authors:Noland, Marcus
LC Subject Headings:United Nations - Sanctions
Economic sanctions - Korea (North)
Nuclear nonproliferation - Korea (North)
Korea (North) - Foreign economic relations
Date Issued:Feb 2009
Publisher:Honolulu, HI: East-West Center
Series:East-West Center working papers. Economics series ; no. 98
Abstract:This study finds that North Korea's nuclear test and the imposition of UN Security Council sanctions have had no perceptible effect on trade with its two largest partners, China and South Korea. Before North Korea conducted an underground nuclear test, it was widely believed that such an event would have cataclysmic diplomatic ramifications. However, beginning with visual inspection of data and ending with time-series models, no evidence is found to support the notion that these events have had any effect on North Korea's trade with its two principal partners. In retrospect, North Korea may have calculated quite correctly that the direct penalties for establishing itself as a nuclear power would be modest (or, alternatively, put such a high value on demonstrating its nuclear capability that it outweighed the downside risks however large). If sanctions are to deter behavior in the future, they will have to be much more enthusiastically implemented.
Description:For more about the East-West Center, see http://www.eastwestcenter.org/
Pages/Duration:12, 11 leaves
URI:http://hdl.handle.net/10125/6137
Appears in Collections: Economics [Working Papers]


Please email libraryada-l@lists.hawaii.edu if you need this content in ADA-compliant format.

Items in ScholarSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.