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A Tensor-based eLSTM Model to Predict Stock Price Using Financial News

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Title:A Tensor-based eLSTM Model to Predict Stock Price Using Financial News
Authors:Tan, Jinghua
Wang, Jun
Rinprasertmeechai, Denisa
Xing, Rong
Li, Qing
Keywords:Machine Learning and Network Analytics in Finance
Decision Analytics, Mobile Services, and Service Science
LSTM, Event-driven, Tensor, Media-awre, Stock movements
Date Issued:08 Jan 2019
Abstract:Stock market prediction has attracted much attention from both academia and business. Both traditional finance and behavioral finance believe that market information affects stock movements. Typically, market information consists of fundamentals and news information. To study how information shapes stock markets, common strategies are to concatenate various information into one compound vector. However, such concatenating ignores the interlinks between fundamentals and news information. In addition, the fundamental data are continuous values sampled at fixed time intervals, while news information occurred randomly. Such heterogeneity leads to miss valuable information partially or twist the feature spaces. In this article, we propose a tensor-based event-LSTM (eLSTM) to solve these two challenges. In particular, we model the market information space with tensors instead of concatenated vectors and balance the heterogeneity of different data types with event-driven mechanism in LSTM. Experiments performed on an entire year data of China Securities markets demonstrate the supreme of the proposed approach over the state-of-the-art algorithms including AZfinText, eMAQT, and TeSIA.
Pages/Duration:10 pages
Rights:Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
Appears in Collections: Machine Learning and Network Analytics in Finance

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