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Item Description Chu, Pao-Shin en_US He, Yuxiang en_US 2008-12-02T02:42:58Z 2008-12-02T02:42:58Z 1993-01 en_US
dc.identifier.citation Chu PS, He Y. 1993. Long-range prediction of Hawaii winter rainfall: A canonical correlation analysis. Honolulu (HI): Water Resources Research Center, University of Hawaii. WRRC special report, 1:05:93. en_US
dc.description.abstract Hawaii rainfall is teleconnected to short-term climate variability in the Pacific Ocean. The summer Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and summer sea-level pressure (SLP) over the North Pacific are used as predictors, and winter rainfall indices from three islands of Hawaii as predictands. To consolidate the large data array of the SLP field prior to prediction experiments, lagged correlation and empirical orthogonal function analyses are used. Canonical correlation analysis has been used for predicting Hawaii winter rainfall. Among many schemes tested, the one that includes the summer SOI and the first four eigenmodes from summer SLP as predictors yields the best predictions. The cross validation technique has also been used to estimate the overall forecast skill of various schemes and the results are consistent with those from prediction experiments. Winter rainfall in Hawaii can be predicted with a good degree of success two seasons in advance by using the summer SOI and the first four eigenmodes of summer SLP over the North Pacific as predictors. en_US
dc.description.sponsorship U.S. Department of the Interior, Geological Survey; Department of Land and Natural Resources, Commission on Water Resource Management; City and County of Honolulu, Board of Water Supply Grant/Contract No. G1558 (USGS); 29185 (DLNR) en_US
dc.format.extent viii + 17 pages en_US
dc.language.iso en-US en_US
dc.publisher Water Resources Research Center, University of Hawaii en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries WRRC Special Reports en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries 1:05:93 en_US
dc.subject rainfall en_US
dc.subject correlation analysis en_US
dc.subject prediction en_US
dc.subject forecasting en_US
dc.subject Monte Carlo method en_US
dc.subject long-range prediction en_US
dc.subject winter rainfall en_US
dc.subject canonical correlation analysis en_US
dc.subject Southern Oscillation Index en_US
dc.subject sea-level pressure en_US
dc.subject Kauai en_US
dc.subject Oahu en_US
dc.subject Hawaii en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Precipitation forecasting -- Hawaii -- Mathematical models. en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Rain and rainfall -- Hawaii. en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Rainfall probabilities -- Hawaii -- Mathematical models. en_US
dc.title WRRCSR No.1:05:93 Long-Range Prediction of Hawaii Winter Rainfall: A Canonical Correlation Analysis en_US
dc.type Report en_US
dc.type.dcmi Text en_US

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